Ableton Forum

pepezabala wrote:it's probably more like that we all live in a simulation.

Let me state what the conclusion of the argument is. The conclusion is that at least one of the following three propositions must be true:
1 Almost all civilisations at our level of development become extinct before becoming technologically mature.
2 The fraction of technologically mature civilisations that are interested in creating ancestor simulations is almost zero.
3 You are almost certainly living in a computer simulation.

Suppose first that the first proposition is false. Then a significant fraction of civilisations at our level of development eventually become technologically mature.
Suppose, too, that the second proposition is false. Then a significant fraction of these civilisations run ancestor simulations.
Therefore, if both one and two are false, there will be simulated minds like ours.

If we work out the numbers, we find that there would be vastly many more simulated minds than nonsimulated
minds. We assume that technologically mature civilisations would have access to enormous amounts of computing power.
So enormous, in fact, that by devoting even a tiny fraction to ancestor simulations, they would be able to implement billions of simulations, each containing as many people as have ever existed. In other words, almost all minds like yours
would be simulated. Therefore, by a very weak principle of indifference, you would have to assume that you are probably one of these simulated minds rather than one of the ones that are not simulated.

Hence, if you think that propositions one and two are both false, you should accept the third. It is not coherent to reject all three.

LeifonMars wrote:I had a dream about Live controller that looked exactly like David Hasselhoff.