Post
by Ajbbklyn » Wed Dec 09, 2009 2:23 pm
An acquisition of Ableton AG by Avid Technology, Inc. would make little sense from a market standpoint. Live has too many similarities to Pro Tools. They are products which serve a similar customer base - regardless of what forum members' opinions of Pro Tools might be.
Case in point:
Avid acquired Pinnacle Systems in 2005 for its Deko graphics software. In doing so, they also took over the development of Liquid - a Pinnacle professional video editing product that was positioned as a direct competitor to Avid Media Composer. Initially they released a new version of Liquid under the Avid banner. But, after a year and a half they handed it back to Pinnacle (something about it being a different code base than MC and Xpress. They didn't want their Avid customers to be "confused" by the fact that Liquid projects couldn't run on other Avid NLE software) and ended its development. They simply killed it. A promised successor to Liquid was announced in 2007. But, as of this writing, it is vapourware.
Also, as mentioned in an earlier post, Avid's balance sheet has weakened, so that it is unlikely that the company would be in an acquisition mode in the near term. As a publicly traded company (NASDAQ: AVID) there is ample imformation available to the public with regards to the company's finances.
Income Statement
For the period ending September 30, 2009, the company earned US$454.2 million in revenue vs. $638.2 million for the same period a year ago, representing a decrease of 29%. This translated to a nine month operating loss of $54.8 million (versus $97.4 million as of 3Q 2008) and a net loss of $50.4 million (v. $98 million as of 3Q 2008). This includes recognition of $17.1 million in restructuring costs. The company mitigated its losses, in part, by decreasing general and administrative expenses by 35% and research & development costs by 21.2%.
Balance Sheet
Cash decreased to $78 million vs. $121.7 at Sept 30, 2008.
Stated Equity fell to $465. million vs. $492.7 million at 9/30/08.
The Company currently carries $227 million in goodwill on its balance sheet. So Tangible Equity would be roughly $238 million.
Statement of Cash Flows
The Company had negative operating cash of $32 million versus positive operating cash of $5.9 million for the same period a year ago. This was driven by accrued expenses, compensation benefits and other liabilities, which used $27 million in cash.
Plainly put: If Avid is not generating cash from their operations, it would be highly unlikely that they would incur additional debt for the purposes of an acquisition - in my opinion.