New Aussie PM ratifies Kyoto

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noisetonepause
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Post by noisetonepause » Wed Dec 05, 2007 8:10 pm

basetwo wrote:Now care to say WHY you think it's "retarded"?
Not really.

I can't argue with someone who believes that the ENTIRE scientific community (and that's how large a portion it is: 100% - there's quite simply no controversy that humans are affecting our climate outside certain political circles) are deluding themselves and the rest of the world along with them. It just doesn't work that way.

So no, I won't explain why I think what you wrote is retarded. I'd rather call it what it is, retarded.

Have a good day!
Suit #1: I mean, have you got any insight as to why a bright boy like this would jeopardize the lives of millions?
Suit #2: No, sir, he says he does this sort of thing for fun.

udp
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Post by udp » Wed Dec 05, 2007 9:25 pm

Noel wrote:
udp wrote:I agree that the globalwarming.org web site IS quite reasonable in its approach. The video I eluded to is here:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uO9laiUXS1o,
not at the previous link. Look, get upset because proponents of "global warming" never answer my questions and never question the methodology of the reports put forth. The guys in the video are top experts in climatology. They're the "teachers" not the "students". I happen to think they make some very good points.
I'm quite happy to accept that not all scientists agree on the subject of climate change, but that hardly justifies the conclusion that man made climate change is a hoax and that somehow the vast majority of scientists that support the theory have somehow been duped or are involved in some huge $ funded conspiracy.

Maybe the contrarians are right and there really isn't a problem, if so they can all have a good laugh and say "I told you so". on the other hand if the scientific consensus is correct and we don't take action now then we are fucked. Faced with hundreds if not thousands of scientists on one side of the argument and a handfull on the other I know which side I'm going with.

Also trying to discredit people on the grounds that they are members of Green Peace is just stupid. What does GreenPeace have to gain by spreading false information.
See my previous post on it being a waste of resources to try to stop it, rather resources should be spent on adapting to it. Greenpeace has EVERYTHING to gain by spreading this lie. That's the point. If people don't fear for their life and the life of their children then the DONATIONS dry up. It's all about money.
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Tone Deft
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Post by Tone Deft » Wed Dec 05, 2007 9:33 pm

udp wrote:
Noel wrote:
udp wrote:I agree that the globalwarming.org web site IS quite reasonable in its approach. The video I eluded to is here:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uO9laiUXS1o,
not at the previous link. Look, get upset because proponents of "global warming" never answer my questions and never question the methodology of the reports put forth. The guys in the video are top experts in climatology. They're the "teachers" not the "students". I happen to think they make some very good points.
I'm quite happy to accept that not all scientists agree on the subject of climate change, but that hardly justifies the conclusion that man made climate change is a hoax and that somehow the vast majority of scientists that support the theory have somehow been duped or are involved in some huge $ funded conspiracy.

Maybe the contrarians are right and there really isn't a problem, if so they can all have a good laugh and say "I told you so". on the other hand if the scientific consensus is correct and we don't take action now then we are fucked. Faced with hundreds if not thousands of scientists on one side of the argument and a handfull on the other I know which side I'm going with.

Also trying to discredit people on the grounds that they are members of Green Peace is just stupid. What does GreenPeace have to gain by spreading false information.
See my previous post on it being a waste of resources to try to stop it, rather resources should be spent on adapting to it. Greenpeace has EVERYTHING to gain by spreading this lie. That's the point. If people don't fear for their life and the life of their children then the DONATIONS dry up. It's all about money.
yeah, because everyone knows that damn Greenpeace is just rolling in the dough and ready to take over the oil and automobile industries as leaders in global influence.

:roll: you're really stretching it. ignoring a vast majority of scientists in favor of Greenpeace's agenda. what a tool...

there's nothing to lose in looking into humans' impact on the planet, there's everything to lose by ignoring it.
In my life
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At people who I'd much rather kick in the eye?
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Noel
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Post by Noel » Wed Dec 05, 2007 10:22 pm

udp wrote:See my previous post on it being a waste of resources to try to stop it, rather resources should be spent on adapting to it. Greenpeace has EVERYTHING to gain by spreading this lie. That's the point. If people don't fear for their life and the life of their children then the DONATIONS dry up. It's all about money.
Your thinking is muddled. If it's just a big hoax why spend any money on it at all? By arguing for spending money on adaptation you are conceeding that there is a problem. It's a bit like saying it's alright to keep building on flood planes as long as we provide everyone with sandbags.

Greenpeace is a volunteer organisation funded by it's members. They exist to fight against damage to the environment. If they run out of environmental causes to champion then I imagine they would happily disband.
Noel has left the building!

adventurepants_
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Post by adventurepants_ » Wed Dec 05, 2007 10:33 pm

this is a similar argument i have about religious types and their attitude to science.

Most christians i know are more than happy to use combustion engine science. They are perfectly happy with the validity of TV science and corn chip science, and jet engine, and heart transplant science.

but when it comes to the age of the earth, then suddenly scientific method is 'flawed' and theyre fucking experts on geology. they dont understand that the same solid scientific method that led to them being able to drive around in a car, also suggests that the world is a certain age.

The climate change skeptics are the same to me. They dont seem to be questioning their faith in jet planes or plastics or the computers they type on. Yet when it comes to global warming, the same scientific method is again 'flawed' and theyre now experts on global climate systems.

udp
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Post by udp » Thu Dec 06, 2007 1:04 am

Noel wrote:
udp wrote:See my previous post on it being a waste of resources to try to stop it, rather resources should be spent on adapting to it. Greenpeace has EVERYTHING to gain by spreading this lie. That's the point. If people don't fear for their life and the life of their children then the DONATIONS dry up. It's all about money.
Your thinking is muddled. If it's just a big hoax why spend any money on it at all? By arguing for spending money on adaptation you are conceeding that there is a problem. It's a bit like saying it's alright to keep building on flood planes as long as we provide everyone with sandbags.

Greenpeace is a volunteer organisation funded by it's members. They exist to fight against damage to the environment. If they run out of environmental causes to champion then I imagine they would happily disband.
Ah! You see, I am not really arguing that the Earth hasn't been warming over the last century ( although it's been cooling over the last 5 or so). It IS my argument that man has had little if any influence on the Earth's warming. So, it does make sense to spend resources to adapt to whatever the climate does, whether it's warming or cooling. As the John Stossel piece points out the CO2 levels actually FOLLOW the warming periods. There is a significant theory that rather than warming being caused by CO2, that CO2 levels rise BECAUSE of warming. Greenpeace may be a volunteer organization, but somebody runs the central offices, and their wages are paid by donations, dues or whatever. My beef isn't just with Greeenpeace. There are numerous organizations that simply wouldn't exist if we all gave up our fear. Sierra Club comes to mind. These environmental groups fund many of the studies that are used to make the claim that global warming is a result of industrialization. They are basically taking advantage of people's fears, and I do take issue with that.

What answer do you give for Al Gore making money selling carbon credits? Follow the money. Why was the Earth warmer before the industrial revolution? or before the existance of man? Nobody has answered that question. Whom would I be a tool of if I am a tool? I don't work in the energy industry. And I feel foolish arguing this as I freeze my butt off outside with temperatures a good 10-15 F below average for early December in Michigan.

PS. I can't really take credit for calling "global warming" a hoax. Those are the words of Dr. John Coleman.
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udp
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Post by udp » Thu Dec 06, 2007 1:34 am

adventurepants_ wrote:this is a similar argument i have about religious types and their attitude to science.

Most christians i know are more than happy to use combustion engine science. They are perfectly happy with the validity of TV science and corn chip science, and jet engine, and heart transplant science.

but when it comes to the age of the earth, then suddenly scientific method is 'flawed' and theyre fucking experts on geology. they dont understand that the same solid scientific method that led to them being able to drive around in a car, also suggests that the world is a certain age.

The climate change skeptics are the same to me. They dont seem to be questioning their faith in jet planes or plastics or the computers they type on. Yet when it comes to global warming, the same scientific method is again 'flawed' and theyre now experts on global climate systems.
To the contrary, I maintain that the scientific method is not flawed. It's not been applied to "global warming".
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adventurepants_
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Post by adventurepants_ » Thu Dec 06, 2007 2:06 am

so where is John Colemans extensive scientific peer review? I read that he has read and criticised other scientists view of global warming, but I cannot find any links to his extensive peer review, and it appears not to have been published.

also according to Wikipedia, he graduated as a meteorologist in the 50s, and has not been involved in research since.

So if its his word over several hundred peer reviewed papers, I know which one I see as credible.

udp
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Post by udp » Thu Dec 06, 2007 2:43 am

Coleman is of course just one. Here's Richard Lindzen.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fz8KiA-Y ... re=related
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andydes
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Post by andydes » Thu Dec 06, 2007 10:22 am

OK, say you are right. That either global warming is a myth or not caused by industrialisation.

The world's population is growing at an alarming rate and getting more energy hungry. We're fast running out of fossil fuel as it is. Everyone will be trying to gain control of the few remaining resources, which won't always be in countries that are particularly fond of you (we all know where that one goes).

Either way, we still need to find new sources of energy, seriously reduce our consumptiion, or both.

Reducing deforrestation, preserving natural habbitats, improving air quality, etc. are all generally seen as good things as well.

Noel
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Post by Noel » Thu Dec 06, 2007 11:15 am

Actually I think the discussion is moot because no government is going to spend much money on either combating or addapting to climate change. I'ts just not a priority in the board room, unless there is money to be made from it. All governments can do is nag at us about energy saving light bulbs and plastic bags, or bung extra tax on air travel and fuel.

As andydes points out the oil is running out allready and government think tanks and industrialists are well aware of this. Most of the noise currently being made about global warming from those people is about getting us to burn less oil so that industry can burn more. We (as a species) need to start investing in renewable energy sources. But instead money will be spent on nuclear power - governments prefer it because it gives them the material they need to make nuclear weapons and because it's amenable to centralised control and profit makeing. Fortunately they have left it a bit late, and by the time the first new reactors come on line (in about 20 years) we will all be generating out own electricity.

The reason I don't follow up your specific points about carbon and temperature etc is because I don't have the knowlege to do so. As a layman my best bet is to follow the scientific concensus.

As for the money trail. The profits to be made from carbon trading are peanuts compared to the oil industry. Al Gore is smart enough to realise that the only way anyone will spend money on the environment is if they can make a profit from it. Maybe he is an evil man, who knows? It doesn't really affect the argument either way. The vast majority of those trying to raise awareness of climate change won't be getting rich from it.

My doctor gets rich by treating sick people, does this mean I should not trust him when he tells me I need an operation? I might want to get a second opinon though. In the case of the climate I have 2000+ second opinions.

Maybe I'll do some research into the specific objections you raise, when I do I'll come back, and if I'm convinced I'll admit I was wrong. For now I'm out of here. I have nothing more to contribute.

Thanks for an edifying, though somewhat inconclusive, debate.
Noel has left the building!

chrysalis33rpm
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Post by chrysalis33rpm » Thu Dec 06, 2007 1:20 pm

andydes wrote:OK, say you are right. That either global warming is a myth or not caused by industrialisation.

The world's population is growing at an alarming rate and getting more energy hungry. We're fast running out of fossil fuel as it is. Everyone will be trying to gain control of the few remaining resources, which won't always be in countries that are particularly fond of you (we all know where that one goes).

Either way, we still need to find new sources of energy, seriously reduce our consumptiion, or both.

Reducing deforrestation, preserving natural habbitats, improving air quality, etc. are all generally seen as good things as well.
Yeah, that's kind of the big point to me. I've been gone from this conversation for a couple days (travelling for work, sorry not to have gotten back to refute your arguements UDP).

But the petroleum (OK, hydrocarbon) economy is about a related, nested system of problems. Global warming is only one aspect, and a potentially dramatic one at that. But, lets focus on the other political, economic, and environmental implications of fossil fuels for a moment:

1) They are finite, and the most accessible resources are exploited first (which can be offset to a degree by technology, but leads inevitably to a scenario of diminishing returns). We don't know if these resources will run out in 100 years or 300, but everyone agrees its a limited time proposition.

2) The recovery of these resources requires dubious political compromises and terratorial agression - an expensive as well as immoral path, and just bad for us in the mid-term, strengthening our enemies and binding our options. (Where did bin-Laden get his money?)

3) Recovering these resources depletes whatever landscape it is in, essentially turning it into an industrial zone. In the case of surface coal mines for instance, the tops of of mountains are blasted off and the debris is shoveled into the streams around them.

4) There is no dispute that the other (particulate) air pollution from hydrocarbon fuels kills many thousands of people each year.

5) The economics of petroleum benefit an entrenched and select few, who have spent generations cozying up to the levers of power (Hello, I need to speak to the vice president...). These companies have shown themselves time and time again to be devoid of morality in the face of human suffering, and active participants in provoking deaths for profits both in the USA and abroad.

6) The amount of energy wasted simply because we have a culture of waste is staggering. Simply keeping tires properly inflated would save thousands of barrels of oil a DAY. Properly insulating buildings should be a no-brainer at this point. Whatever your politic, we should deplore the loss of human effort and environmental resources inherent in waste like this.

Soooo....I am also in favor of the principle of adaptability. And what that means, first and foremost, is securing a wide range of economically viable and nonpolluting sources of energy for our cultures' future. This will not only have the political and environmental benefits I indicated above, but will encourage entirely new industries, which are mostly nascent right now. These industries will, in the mid-term, be much more economically beneficial than the dinosaur duo of the American automobile/petroleum industries, because they wll require high levels of innovation and education, and will result in products which will be sold and licensed around the world - much like space-program spinnoffs from the Apollo program.

So, even if we think the threat of climate change is a plot by Greenpeace and other nefarious world powers, we can certainly see that adapting to the present day political, economic, and environmental outlook requires a change in our conception, delivery, and use of energy in all sectors of our economy.

udp
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Post by udp » Thu Dec 06, 2007 1:24 pm

andydes wrote:OK, say you are right. That either global warming is a myth or not caused by industrialisation.

The world's population is growing at an alarming rate and getting more energy hungry. We're fast running out of fossil fuel as it is. Everyone will be trying to gain control of the few remaining resources, which won't always be in countries that are particularly fond of you (we all know where that one goes).

Either way, we still need to find new sources of energy, seriously reduce our consumptiion, or both.

Reducing deforrestation, preserving natural habbitats, improving air quality, etc. are all generally seen as good things as well.
Agreed! 100% You see, I might be the only one here in the forum who uses nearly 100% mini florescent lights, has a tankless water heater and is considering buying a hybrid (SUV) for his next vehicle. But those are MY decisions. Forcing large groups of people to do these things wrong. My main argument is not with conservation, but with the fear mongering. Particularly with the science not being settled. And I really take issue with people like Al Gore getting rich off of this fear.
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udp
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Post by udp » Thu Dec 06, 2007 1:59 pm

chrysalis33rpm wrote:
andydes wrote:OK, say you are right. That either global warming is a myth or not caused by industrialisation.

The world's population is growing at an alarming rate and getting more energy hungry. We're fast running out of fossil fuel as it is. Everyone will be trying to gain control of the few remaining resources, which won't always be in countries that are particularly fond of you (we all know where that one goes).

Either way, we still need to find new sources of energy, seriously reduce our consumptiion, or both.

Reducing deforrestation, preserving natural habbitats, improving air quality, etc. are all generally seen as good things as well.
Yeah, that's kind of the big point to me. I've been gone from this conversation for a couple days (travelling for work, sorry not to have gotten back to refute your arguements UDP).

But the petroleum (OK, hydrocarbon) economy is about a related, nested system of problems. Global warming is only one aspect, and a potentially dramatic one at that. But, lets focus on the other political, economic, and environmental implications of fossil fuels for a moment:

1) They are finite, and the most accessible resources are exploited first (which can be offset to a degree by technology, but leads inevitably to a scenario of diminishing returns). We don't know if these resources will run out in 100 years or 300, but everyone agrees its a limited time proposition.

2) The recovery of these resources requires dubious political compromises and terratorial agression - an expensive as well as immoral path, and just bad for us in the mid-term, strengthening our enemies and binding our options. (Where did bin-Laden get his money?)

3) Recovering these resources depletes whatever landscape it is in, essentially turning it into an industrial zone. In the case of surface coal mines for instance, the tops of of mountains are blasted off and the debris is shoveled into the streams around them.

4) There is no dispute that the other (particulate) air pollution from hydrocarbon fuels kills many thousands of people each year.

5) The economics of petroleum benefit an entrenched and select few, who have spent generations cozying up to the levers of power (Hello, I need to speak to the vice president...). These companies have shown themselves time and time again to be devoid of morality in the face of human suffering, and active participants in provoking deaths for profits both in the USA and abroad.

6) The amount of energy wasted simply because we have a culture of waste is staggering. Simply keeping tires properly inflated would save thousands of barrels of oil a DAY. Properly insulating buildings should be a no-brainer at this point. Whatever your politic, we should deplore the loss of human effort and environmental resources inherent in waste like this.

Soooo....I am also in favor of the principle of adaptability. And what that means, first and foremost, is securing a wide range of economically viable and nonpolluting sources of energy for our cultures' future. This will not only have the political and environmental benefits I indicated above, but will encourage entirely new industries, which are mostly nascent right now. These industries will, in the mid-term, be much more economically beneficial than the dinosaur duo of the American automobile/petroleum industries, because they wll require high levels of innovation and education, and will result in products which will be sold and licensed around the world - much like space-program spinnoffs from the Apollo program.

So, even if we think the threat of climate change is a plot by Greenpeace and other nefarious world powers, we can certainly see that adapting to the present day political, economic, and environmental outlook requires a change in our conception, delivery, and use of energy in all sectors of our economy.
I also don't disagree with this. I live a fairly green lifestyle. I don't see any particular advantage to not doing so. I am not convinced that man has anything to do with "global warming" and in fact believe that modest warming may be beneficial to many people. Growing seasons would be lengthened in the northern climates, and I can't think of a down side to that. Part of our problem is as time has progressed and populations have grown, we've become less migratory. When conditions get bad, we don't move on like mankind used to do and like many animal species do. This limits us. I don't think it particularly wise to try to grow non-desert plants in the desert, but people try to do it, then complain that they don't have enough water. They need common sense.
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chrysalis33rpm
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Post by chrysalis33rpm » Thu Dec 06, 2007 2:26 pm

udp wrote:
chrysalis33rpm wrote:
andydes wrote:OK, say you are right. That either global warming is a myth or not caused by industrialisation.

The world's population is growing at an alarming rate and getting more energy hungry. We're fast running out of fossil fuel as it is. Everyone will be trying to gain control of the few remaining resources, which won't always be in countries that are particularly fond of you (we all know where that one goes).

Either way, we still need to find new sources of energy, seriously reduce our consumptiion, or both.

Reducing deforrestation, preserving natural habbitats, improving air quality, etc. are all generally seen as good things as well.
Yeah, that's kind of the big point to me. I've been gone from this conversation for a couple days (travelling for work, sorry not to have gotten back to refute your arguements UDP).

But the petroleum (OK, hydrocarbon) economy is about a related, nested system of problems. Global warming is only one aspect, and a potentially dramatic one at that. But, lets focus on the other political, economic, and environmental implications of fossil fuels for a moment:

1) They are finite, and the most accessible resources are exploited first (which can be offset to a degree by technology, but leads inevitably to a scenario of diminishing returns). We don't know if these resources will run out in 100 years or 300, but everyone agrees its a limited time proposition.

2) The recovery of these resources requires dubious political compromises and terratorial agression - an expensive as well as immoral path, and just bad for us in the mid-term, strengthening our enemies and binding our options. (Where did bin-Laden get his money?)

3) Recovering these resources depletes whatever landscape it is in, essentially turning it into an industrial zone. In the case of surface coal mines for instance, the tops of of mountains are blasted off and the debris is shoveled into the streams around them.

4) There is no dispute that the other (particulate) air pollution from hydrocarbon fuels kills many thousands of people each year.

5) The economics of petroleum benefit an entrenched and select few, who have spent generations cozying up to the levers of power (Hello, I need to speak to the vice president...). These companies have shown themselves time and time again to be devoid of morality in the face of human suffering, and active participants in provoking deaths for profits both in the USA and abroad.

6) The amount of energy wasted simply because we have a culture of waste is staggering. Simply keeping tires properly inflated would save thousands of barrels of oil a DAY. Properly insulating buildings should be a no-brainer at this point. Whatever your politic, we should deplore the loss of human effort and environmental resources inherent in waste like this.

Soooo....I am also in favor of the principle of adaptability. And what that means, first and foremost, is securing a wide range of economically viable and nonpolluting sources of energy for our cultures' future. This will not only have the political and environmental benefits I indicated above, but will encourage entirely new industries, which are mostly nascent right now. These industries will, in the mid-term, be much more economically beneficial than the dinosaur duo of the American automobile/petroleum industries, because they wll require high levels of innovation and education, and will result in products which will be sold and licensed around the world - much like space-program spinnoffs from the Apollo program.

So, even if we think the threat of climate change is a plot by Greenpeace and other nefarious world powers, we can certainly see that adapting to the present day political, economic, and environmental outlook requires a change in our conception, delivery, and use of energy in all sectors of our economy.
I also don't disagree with this. I live a fairly green lifestyle. I don't see any particular advantage to not doing so. I am not convinced that man has anything to do with "global warming" and in fact believe that modest warming may be beneficial to many people. Growing seasons would be lengthened in the northern climates, and I can't think of a down side to that. Part of our problem is as time has progressed and populations have grown, we've become less migratory. When conditions get bad, we don't move on like mankind used to do and like many animal species do. This limits us. I don't think it particularly wise to try to grow non-desert plants in the desert, but people try to do it, then complain that they don't have enough water. They need common sense.
Well, then we agree on what to do, and on six reasons out of seven on why to do it. I'd say that goups of humans have little common sense when it comes to dealing with abstract problems. And yeah, growing crops in the desert just seems ridiculous (especially when the Colorado river doesn't even make it to the ocean anymore). I've made the major green changes I can make in my life (no car, a walking and transit based lifestyle, and a small apartment). Still refining, but working on advancing the systems which underpin modern life to the point where our argument becomes obsolete.

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